Bitcoin +4.8%, XRP +9.3% as Waller Eases Fed Rate Hike Fears
Bitcoin and XRP rallied sharply after Fed Governor Waller indicated rates could stay unchanged if August inflation looks favorable. The macro-driven move reversed earlier oil-spike losses but remains vulnerable to upcoming jobs and inflation prints.
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Crypto briefing
Key takeaways
- Bitcoin and XRP rallied sharply after Fed Governor Waller indicated rates could stay unchanged if August inflation looks favorable.
- The macro-driven move reversed earlier oil-spike losses but remains vulnerable to upcoming jobs and inflation prints.
In this briefing
Mentioned
Key Intelligence
Key Facts
- 1Microsoft reported Azure quarterly revenue of $29.4 billion, up 42% year over year, in its first-ever disclosure for the segment.
- 2Microsoft expects Azure revenue to grow 44% to 45% in constant currency in the current quarter, driven by AI usage.
- 3AWS reported revenue of $42.2 billion, up 37% year over year, for the quarter ended June 30.
- 4Fed Governor Christopher Waller said he would support holding rates steady if August inflation data is positive.
- 5Bitcoin rose 4.8% and XRP rose 9.3% over 24 hours on September 3, 2026, as Treasury yields eased.
- 6The S&P 500 gained 1.1% and the Nasdaq Composite rose between 1.4% and 1.6% on the same day.
Crypto rallied after Fed's Waller signaled support for holding rates steady
Who's Affected
Analysis
Crypto traders got a convincing macro reprieve on September 3. Fed Governor Christopher Waller's comment that he would prefer to hold rates steady if inflation data cooperates sent Bitcoin up 4.8% and XRP up 9.3%, showing how strongly digital assets trade as high-beta risk rather than inflation hedges.
On September 3, 2026, markets received a two-part risk-on story. Microsoft shares moved higher after the company ended years of limited disclosure and reported Azure's quarterly revenue for the first time: $29.4 billion, up 42% year over year. Almost simultaneously, comments from Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller reduced near-term rate-hike expectations, lifting equities broadly and giving Bitcoin a 4.8% gain and XRP a 9.3% gain. The two catalysts are different in nature—one is a company-specific transparency shift, the other a macro reprieve—but they converged to define a session in which growth-sensitive assets rallied.
The new numbers show Azure generated $29.4 billion in its most recent quarter, placing it second only to Amazon Web Services, which posted $42.2 billion and grew 37% in the quarter ended June 30.
The Microsoft disclosure is a meaningful change for investors. Until now, the company had revealed little beyond Azure's growth rate, leaving analysts to infer revenue from segment notes and indirect disclosure. The new numbers show Azure generated $29.4 billion in its most recent quarter, placing it second only to Amazon Web Services, which posted $42.2 billion and grew 37% in the quarter ended June 30. Microsoft also guided to 44% to 45% constant-currency Azure growth in the current quarter, citing soaring AI usage. That forward commentary is important because it links Azure's expansion directly to the generative AI buildout. Microsoft is a key investor in and partner of OpenAI and Anthropic, and these model developers rely on Azure for a significant portion of their cloud computing needs. Tens of thousands of other customers use Azure to access AI models, applications, and development tools. The disclosure therefore gives investors a tangible revenue line to evaluate how the AI trade is converting into cloud infrastructure demand.
The macro catalyst behind the crypto and equity moves came from Waller, who said on Thursday he would support leaving interest rates unchanged if August inflation data is positive. Waller told Reuters he would prefer to let prices moderate on their own and 'refrain from prematurely raising rates to allow a cooling process to play out.' That comment pushed U.S. Treasury yields lower from multi-decade highs and reduced the market's expectation for a rate increase at the upcoming Fed meeting. The S&P 500 finished up 1.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite rose between 1.4% and 1.6% depending on the report. Lower rate fears tend to favor long-duration and higher-risk assets, which includes both cloud software equities and cryptocurrencies.
What to Watch
The crypto reaction was especially sharp. Bitcoin was up 4.8% over the previous 24 hours as of 2:50 p.m. ET, while XRP was up 9.3% as of 4:30 p.m. ET. The outsized move in XRP relative to Bitcoin reflects its higher beta and the fact that altcoins often amplify macro sentiment shifts. Earlier in the week, the opposite dynamic had played out: renewed U.S. strikes against Iran drove oil prices higher, raised rate-hike expectations, pushed bond yields up, and sent Bitcoin lower. Waller's comments interrupted that pattern, but the source analysis warns against reading too much into one day's move. Oil remains expensive, and further escalation could quickly revive inflation fears. The next jobs and inflation reports will determine whether the relief is durable or simply a one-session bounce.
For investors, the combined story is a reminder that company-specific fundamentals and macro policy are now tightly linked through the AI infrastructure cycle. Microsoft's decision to disclose Azure revenue reduces uncertainty and creates a new benchmark for cloud transparency, potentially pressuring rivals to follow. At the same time, the crypto rally shows how sensitive digital assets remain to Federal Reserve signaling, behaving less like inflation hedges and more like high-growth technology stocks. The next inflation print and the Fed's actual rate decision will likely be the next catalysts for both the equity and crypto components of this story. If August inflation data disappoints, the gains in Microsoft, Bitcoin, and XRP could reverse quickly. If it comes in soft, the rally may have further room to run, particularly for assets tied to the AI cloud buildout.
Cite This Page
"Bitcoin +4.8%, XRP +9.3% as Waller Eases Fed Rate Hike Fears." Crypto Intelligence Brief, September 4, 2026. https://getcryptobrief.com/story/bitcoin-xrp-rally-fed-waller-sept-2026
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